Dashboard

Project biomarkers and health trends

Weight, blood pressure, VO2 max, DEXA body composition, and metabolic panels — logged openly across the 52-week fasting project.

This page is the evidence for everything else on the site. The protocol is simple — three fasting days a week for 52 weeks — and rather than describe how it feels, the plan was to measure what it does and publish every reading, including the unflattering ones. Nothing here is retrospectively cleaned up: readings go in as they are taken, and charts redraw around them.

Two kinds of data sit side by side. Weight and blood pressure are logged frequently at home, which makes them dense but noisy. VO2 max, DEXA scans and blood panels are periodic and lab-measured, so there are fewer points but each one carries far more weight. Where a reading looks strange, the usual explanation is timing — whether it was taken on a fasting day or a feeding day changes hydration, and hydration moves several of these numbers.

An important caveat: this is one person, unblinded and uncontrolled, with no control group and no clinical supervision beyond routine lab work. It cannot show what fasting would do to you. It can only show what happened to one body, in detail, with the dates attached — read it alongside the medical disclaimer. The exact procedure, device and known limitations behind every figure are documented on the methodology pages.

The dashboard

Biomarkers, openly logged.

Weekly weight and BP, periodic VO2 max, DEXA scans, full metabolic panels, and breath and blood ketone readings. Live data — every reading is added to the trend.

Working out your own numbers? The fasting weight loss calculator estimates how much of a fast's weight change is fat and how much is water.

Weight

Each logged entry

Blood pressure

Systolic / Diastolic

VO2 Max

Cardiorespiratory fitness

DEXA

Body fat % and lean mass (lb)

Breath ketones

Acetone, measured in PPM

Blood ketones

Beta-hydroxybutyrate, mmol/L

Cholesterol

Quest Diagnostics · latest —

Total cholesterol

—mg/dL

Ref < 200

HDL cholesterol

—mg/dL

Ref ≥ 40

Triglycerides

—mg/dL

Ref < 150

LDL cholesterol

—mg/dL

Ref < 100

Chol / HDL ratio

—

Ref < 5.0

Non-HDL cholesterol

—mg/dL

Ref < 130

Glucose & kidney function

Quest Diagnostics

Fasting glucose

—mg/dL

Ref 70–99

BUN

—mg/dL

Ref 7–20

Creatinine

—mg/dL

Ref 0.7–1.3

eGFR

—mL/min

Ref ≥ 90

Total cholesterol

—mg/dL

HbA1c

—%

Body fat

—%

VO2 max

—ml/kg/min

Breath ketones

—PPM

Blood ketones

—mmol/L

Case study · Two graded exercise tests

VO2 max fell 15% in three months.

A clinical graded exercise test on a metabolic cart established a baseline of 49.1 mL/kg/min on June 14, 2026 — the 97th percentile for age. A retest on September 18 measured 41.4, a drop of 7.7 or 15.7% over roughly 14 weeks. That is a real decline, not measurement noise, and it is the single most concerning signal the project has produced so far.

Baseline

49.1

June 14 · 97th percentile

Retest

41.4

September 18

Change

−15.7%

−7.7 mL/kg/min

June to September comparison

MetricJune 14September 18Change
VO2 max49.1 mL/kg/min41.4 mL/kg/min−7.7 (−15.7%)
Percentile (age-matched)97th—Not reported on retest
Test dateJune 14, 2026September 18, 2026≈ 14 weeks apart

Baseline test details (June 14)

The original metabolic-cart test also captured ventilatory thresholds and peak exercise metrics, which anchor the training zones below.

VO2 Max (June)

49.1mL/kg/min

97th percentile

Peak power

120W

Max heart rate

153BPM

Peak ventilation

108L/min

Max tidal volume

2.6L / breath

VT1 · Aerobic baseline

110 BPM·75 W

Upper limit of pure aerobic efficiency. Below 110 BPM, metabolism relies almost exclusively on fat oxidation — the optimal zone for building mitochondrial density and sustaining endurance without compounding systemic fatigue.

VT2 · Anaerobic boundary

127 BPM·97 W

Sustainable maximum output — the lactic threshold. Past 127 BPM, the body pivots sharply toward carbohydrate burning and lactic acid accumulation, and ventilation accelerates to clear CO₂.

What the decline means

A 15% drop in three months is large enough to be physiologically meaningful, not test-to-test wobble. Possible contributors include reduced training volume during the fasting protocol, lower carbohydrate availability on fasting days, and the cumulative stress of repeated caloric deficit. It is also possible that hydration differences between the two tests shifted the per-kilogram denominator. The decline does not mean the fasting protocol is safe or unsafe — it means this particular signal needs watching and corrective action.

What comes next

The response is structured: Zone 2 sessions anchored at the VT1 threshold to rebuild aerobic base, short HIIT intervals past VT2 to challenge the ceiling, and a third graded exercise test planned to measure whether the decline reverses. A Garmin Venu now provides day-to-day training-load tracking. The next test will show whether the intervention worked.

Two graded exercise tests describe one person's measured change. They do not establish that fasting caused the decline, and other factors — training habits, hydration, and normal test variation — may also contribute. Read this alongside the medical disclaimer.

Case study · Two DXA scans

Same weight. Less fat. More lean mass.

Between June 12 and September 21, 2026, scale weight remained 180.0 lb while DEXA measured 5.3 lb less fat mass and 6.3 lb more lean mass. Lean mass includes muscle, organs and body fluids, so the increase should not be interpreted as muscle gain alone.

Fat mass

−5.3 lb

53.3 to 48.0 lb

Lean mass

+6.3 lb

117.8 to 124.1 lb

Scale weight

0.0 lb

180.0 lb at both scans

June to September comparison

Values below are transcribed from the two Fitnescity DEXA reports.

MetricJune 12September 21Change
Total weight180.0 lb180.0 lbNo change
Body fat29.9%26.8%−3.1 points
Fat mass53.3 lb48.0 lb−5.3 lb
Lean mass117.8 lb124.1 lb+6.3 lb
Lean mass percentage66.2%69.4%+3.2 points
Body-fat percentile45th23rd22 places lower
Bone mineral density1.393 g/cm²1.391 g/cm²−0.002 g/cm²
Z-score+1.9+1.9No change
BMI29.029.0No change

What changed

Body fat fell 3.1 percentage points and the age-matched body-fat percentile moved from 45th to 23rd. Over roughly three months, the scans therefore document body recomposition that scale weight and BMI alone did not show.

What held steady

Bone mineral density changed from 1.393 to 1.391 g/cm², while the Z-score remained +1.9, approximately the 95th percentile in the report's reference population. BMI remained 29.0.

These two scans describe one person's measured change. They do not establish that fasting alone caused it, and small differences can also reflect hydration and normal measurement variation.

Case study · Indirect calorimetry

A measured resting metabolic baseline.

Indirect calorimetry on a VO2 Master analyser quantifies oxygen consumption at rest to compute actual Resting Metabolic Rate — bypassing the generalised Mifflin-St Jeor and Harris-Benedict equations. The June 12, 2026 assessment below anchors caloric programming for the rest of the protocol.

Resting energy expenditure

Measured RMR

1,598 kcal/day

Metabolism score

+30%

vs. statistical average for age, weight, height, sex

Maintenance target

1,918 kcal

Daily intake to hold 180 lb before added exercise

A faster-than-average resting burn provides a useful buffer for energy balance during fasting blocks and refeeding windows.

Daily energy balance

Resting metabolism plus baseline movement gives the precise calorie floor before training is added.

Resting energy (RMR)

1,598kcal/day

Vital organ function, breathing, cellular repair

Active energy

320kcal/day

Baseline daily movement (sedentary)

Total daily expenditure

1,918kcal/day

Maintenance at 180 lb before exercise

Autonomic & cardiovascular baselines

Captured alongside the metabolic test as reference points for tracking adaptation to fasting, training, and recovery.

Resting heart rate

56bpm

Ideal range · strong aerobic conditioning

Heart rate variability

48.6ms

Autonomic recovery baseline for stress & fasting

Metabolism score

+30%

Faster than statistical average for age/sex/size

Comprehensive metabolic panel

Five years of bloodwork.

Quest Diagnostics CMP + CBC. Five-year baseline (November 2021 onward) shown as yearly trend lines; the year-of-fast quarterly draws will plot with full precision as they come in.

Latest draw

May 8, 2026

32 of 32 in range · Fasting

Glucose & Kidney

4 analytes

Electrolytes

5 analytes

Liver & Protein

8 analytes

Complete Blood Count

10 analytes

White Cell Differential

5 analytes

Source: Quest Diagnostics · Historical trend lines reflect approximate yearly values from 2022–2025; the 2026 reading is exact.

4 more quarterly updates over the year ahead.

What each biomarker measures, and why it is tracked

The charts above are only useful if you know what they represent and how the readings were taken. Here is each one in plain language, along with its measurement cadence.

Body weight

Weekly, most mornings

Weighed on the same scale, first thing, before drinking anything. Weight is the noisiest number on this page: a single fasting day can shed two or three pounds of water and glycogen and put most of it straight back on refeeding. That is why the chart matters more than any individual reading — the slope over months is fat, the sawtooth week to week is mostly hydration.

How this is measured →

Blood pressure

Weekly, seated, after five minutes' rest

Taken with an upper-arm cuff at roughly the same time of day. Fasting tends to lower blood pressure, partly through fluid and sodium loss, which is exactly why anyone on antihypertensive medication needs clinical supervision — the risk during a fast is going too low, not too high.

How this is measured →

VO2 max

Periodic lab test

The maximum volume of oxygen the body can use per kilogram per minute during hard exercise. It is the best single measure of cardiorespiratory fitness and one of the strongest predictors of all-cause mortality in the literature. The question this project asks is whether a year of repeated fasting days erodes it, holds it, or improves it.

How this is measured →

DEXA body composition

Periodic scan

A DEXA scan splits total weight into fat mass, lean mass, and bone. This is the honest check on the weight chart: losing weight is easy, losing weight while holding lean mass is the actual goal. Lean mass falling alongside fat mass would be the clearest sign the protocol is costing more than it returns.

How this is measured →

Metabolic panel

Periodic blood draw (Quest Diagnostics)

Total cholesterol, LDL, HDL, triglycerides, the cholesterol-to-HDL ratio and non-HDL cholesterol, plus fasting glucose, HbA1c, BUN, creatinine and eGFR. The lipid group tracks cardiovascular risk, glucose and HbA1c track how the body handles sugar over days and months, and the kidney markers are the safety rail — prolonged fasting shifts fluid and protein turnover, so BUN, creatinine and eGFR are watched for drift.

How this is measured →

Breath ketones

Fasting days

Measured as acetone in parts per million on a breath device, not blood beta-hydroxybutyrate. As glycogen empties, the liver converts fat into ketone bodies, and a fraction leaves the body through the lungs as acetone — so a rising PPM reading is direct evidence of the switch from burning glucose to burning fat. Breath readings are cheaper and less precise than blood; treat them as a yes/no on ketosis and a rough sense of depth, not an exact figure.

How this is measured →

Blood ketones (BHB)

Fasting days, periodic

Blood beta-hydroxybutyrate in millimoles per litre, measured with a finger-prick meter. This is the reference measurement for ketosis — it is what research uses and what the body is actually running on. It confirms or corrects the breath reading: the two track the same trend but are not interchangeable, and where they disagree the blood figure is the one to trust.

How this is measured →

How to read these charts

Ignore single points. Every measurement carries error — scales drift, cuffs sit slightly differently on the arm, breath devices vary between puffs, and lab assays have their own tolerances. A change only means something when it persists across several readings, or when a lab-measured value moves further than the test's own margin.

Watch the pairings, not the individual lines. Weight falling while DEXA lean mass holds steady is a good outcome; weight falling while lean mass falls with it is not. Blood pressure dropping alongside stable kidney markers reads differently from blood pressure dropping while creatinine climbs. Ketones only make sense next to the fasting schedule — a high reading on day three of eating would suggest a device problem, not a metabolic one.

If you want to work through the arithmetic behind fasting weight change on your own numbers, the fasting weight loss calculator separates the fat portion from the water portion, and the fasting articles index explains the underlying physiology behind each marker.

Hume Smart Scale

Hume Smart Scale

Body composition via bioimpedance

Body composition trends

Every metric in this section comes from the Hume Smart Scale, which estimates body composition from bioimpedance: body fat, lean mass, fat distribution, muscle, bone, water and cell mass. It is a consumer device rather than clinical equipment, so the value is in the daily trend rather than any single reading.

Body fat

—%

Skeletal muscle

—kg

Lean mass

—%

Body water

—%

Body fat vs lean mass

Hume Smart Scale, % of body weight

Fat distribution

Subcutaneous fat mass and visceral fat index

Muscle and bone

Skeletal muscle mass, skeletal mass and bone mineral content

Body water and cell mass

Hydration and metabolically active tissue

The Hume Smart Scale readings come from bioimpedance — a small current passed through the body — which is sensitive to hydration, and fasting shifts hydration a lot. Expect body fat, water and cell mass to swing more on fasting days than the underlying tissue is actually changing. As with everything on this page, the direction of travel over weeks is the signal; any single morning is noise.